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Description
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? describes whether the Trump Administration formally initiates a tariff dividend or rebate by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Any bill signed or executive action within this window qualifies, and a qualifying payment attributed to tariff revenue settles the Yes outcome. The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting.
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1
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.