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Description
Trump approval rating on May 15, 2026 is drawn from Silver Bulletin’s daily poll data. The market resolves according to the approval rating reported for that date, finalized when the next data point is released, and sourced from Silver Bulletin’s poll aggregator. If unavailable, RealClearPolitics serves as a fallback source. Ratings are published to one decimal place and used as the official resolution value.
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6
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Related events
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Markets
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.