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Description
Trump-Xi Summit: China may alter tariffs in relation to the United States. Xi Jinping or an authorized Chinese government representative must announce a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on the United States, or on U.S.-related goods, by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The rule allows reductions within a mutual agreement, and only definitive announcements count. If no qualifying tariff action is announced by that deadline, the Yes outcome does not occur and the market resolves No.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
6
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Will Trump visit China by...?Will Trump visit China on...?US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?US x China tariff agreement by May 31?US x China Military clash before 2027?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participation in Iran Negotiations | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Boeing Aircraft Purchase | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| U.S. Soybean Purchase | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| U.S. Oil Purchase | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rare Earth Export Relief | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nvidia Chip Purchase | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on the United States between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to the United States, goods from the United States, or a specific set of countries including the United States will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market's resolution. Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying action announced within this market's time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.